when did 14 days to flatten the curve start

For weeks, a debate has raged about whether the virus could be contained an approach the WHO has been exhorting countries to focus on or whether it made more sense to simply try to lessen the virus blow, an approach known as mitigation.. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. And frankly speaking, its not helpful, Ryan told reporters. (Really, that happened.) "What ought to be "common sense" is speaking the truth to the American people, even when situations are challenging and demoralizing. Best trending 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme. The preferred political solution lies in both continuing to encourage social distancing and in prohibiting larger gatherings. Aria Bendix President We were given apocalyptic predictions about infection rates of "40 to 70 percent" and told millions would die. Instead, he lied and lost the trust of half the country. Anthony Fauci had just lied to Congress about his views on COVID-19. There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear. The recent emergence of the quick-spreading omicron variant combined with some initial reports suggesting that it may be less dangerous than the original variant reports that have been disputed have reintroduced the idea that containment measures be loosened to allow it to spread. But that is not all. If a suitably supplied army of health personnel could cycle this virus through the population and treat those people that require extra help to get them safely past the critical point, this virus MAY have much less of a lethal and economic disruption to the world than the current variably applied isolation and business disruption natural course. That was 663 days ago. And that is a bad place to be.. She added that early on, officials should have acted more swiftly when cases were detected to prevent spread through the closure of businesses. Legitimate disagreement within the scientific community is common, but perhaps never before has the debate played out so publicly or with such high stakes. But that safety never came and it never will. If intense lockdown protocols were an effective way to mitigate against infection and death rates, the data would show states such as California and New York with much better outcomes than Texas and Florida. In the future, she added, social-distancing recommendations might be less aggressive than they are now but they're unlikely to go away for at least a year. So its the top priority right now that we bend the curve.. Contact Us, Watch: Angry Parents Slam School Board for Sexually Grooming Students with Family Friendly Drag Shows, Reporter Trolls School Board By Dressing Like Trans Teacher With Colossal Prosthetic Breasts, Breaking! Birx, who left the CDC last week and took a couple of private sector positions, said the discussion around early Covid policy was not so simple as science vs. politics. "It is fair to say, some form of social distancing will be required until we have a vaccine or effective treatment identified," Morrato said. That means that we know we should be doing it. On April 9, the Hawaii Department of Educationannouncedthat all public schools are expected to stay shut until COVID-19 is no longer spreading in the community, defined as four weeks with no new cases.. No higher priority than the health of the American people, Listen to and follow the directions of your. Vespignani, along with colleagues, published a recent modeling study in Science that showed travel restrictions which the United States has adopted to a degree only slow spread when combined with public health interventions and individual behavioral change. 700 Days Into 14 Days To Flatten The Curve And The Only Thing Thats Reduced Is Your Freedom. Reporting from the frontiers of health and medicine, You've been selected! "Comfort and physical safety are boons to humanity, but they bring some costs, too. ", "I cannot see that all of a sudden, next week or two weeks from now, it's going to be over," he said in an interview with the Today show. This mass dehumanization by the establishment against people for their personal medical choices cannot be ignored or understated. For visiting Era of Light. This suggests that the flatten-the-curve message might have armed them with the knowledge they needed to draw their own conclusions about social distancing measures without needing to rely as strongly on trusting experts. Even if the rate of hospitalization is significantly lower than previous variants (for which there is some evidence), a small percentage of a big number can be a big number. Best Debt Consolidation Loans for Bad Credit, Personal Loans for 580 Credit Score or Lower, Personal Loans for 670 Credit Score or Lower. This afternoon, President Trump and the White House Coronavirus Task Force issued new guidelines to help protect Americans during the global Coronavirus outbreak. Jan Welvaarts, Daily Analysis of COVID-19 infection curve by country https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-march-15-31-2020-critical-time-contain-covid-19-us-khvatkov/. Freedom, true freedom, is inalienable. We hope you found something here that sparked your interest and assists you in your awakening journey. Statement From Roger Stone In Response To The January 6th Committee. That was the idea of flattening the curve, reducing exposure to the virus to limit the number of people who fell ill and, by extension, who needed to be hospitalized. Two weeks to flatten the curve turned into months of restrictions, which have turned into nearly 365 days of mask-wearing, hand-washing and worries about A large number of people becoming very sick over the course of a few days could overwhelm a hospital or care facility. More importantly, we saw an increase in rhetoric that specifically rejected the idea of avoiding infection. Yet a year later, less than ten percent of the U.S. population has reported contracting the virus (29.5 million cases in a population of 328 million), while roughly half a million (0.16%) have lost their lives. 2023 CNBC LLC. Unnecessary large gatherings should be canceled. Perhaps not surprisingly, by early April we had leading national figures in the US insisting that China-style lockdowns were the only way to deal with the disease. then-U.S. COVID-19 is spreading like wildfire in all countries, but we do not see itit almost always spreads from younger people with no or weak symptoms to other people who will also have mild symptoms. I expect that when we count the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country in 1 year from now, the figures will be similar, regardless of measures taken. Gottlieb: Europe's rise in Covid cases isn't predictive of U.S. trajectory, announced his administration's "15 days to slow the spread" campaign, acknowledged the outbreak could extend beyond the summer, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, took a couple of private sector positions. A look back at the first coronavirus guidelines issued by the federal government demonstrates just how little was known at the time about the virus that has sickened almost 30 million Americans and killed at least 535,000 in the U.S. The WHO has failed in their lack of guts to make tough decisions, theyve been on the potty squaking about global Angst instead. Trump's 15-day plan to slow the coronavirus' spread is too short, experts say. The data is being closely watched While the President leads a nationwide response, bringing together government resources and private-sector ingenuity, every American can help slow the virus spread and keep our most high-risk populations safe: Todays guidelines build on the CDCs general recommendations to help prevent spread of the virus. Some of the early tests the CDC developed and shipped were faulty, and only a limited group of Americans were granted access to them. In case 5% of the infections need IC (intensive care), the maximum number of infections our health care can handle is app. Former President Trump announced his "15 days to slow the spread" campaign one year ago, which urged Americans to stay home to combat the coronavirus pandemic. On March 16, 2020, the Trump administration released a 15 The virus is spreading, were are told, including widely throughout the vaccinated population, because of the unvaccinated who are now dirty non-citizens., On Tuesday, French President Macron gave an interview to the La Parisien, in which he dehumanized the unvaccinated and urged other citizens to hate them, likening them to their worst enemies., I am not about pissing off the French people, Macron told the readers of Le Parisien. "We know that early and aggressive containment strategies are most effective in saving lives," Morrato said. The measures did contain the spread of influenza but were abandoned within 18 days, once it became clear that the H1N1 influenza virus, albeit widespread in Well need 30 years to reach sufficient immunity. Lockdown Concerns. I think the whole notion of flattening the curve is to slow things down so that this doesnt hit us like a brick wall, said Michael Mina, associate medical director of clinical microbiology at Bostons Brigham and Womens Hospital. Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories, The Trump administration has released a 15-day plan to, The plan involves asking healthy Americans to avoiding social gatherings and. We are now nearly two years, 2 presidents, 6 trillion dollars, and countless stolen rights into slowing the spread. Mar 11, 2021 2 min read 14 DAYS TO FLATTEN THE CURVE Open Letter to Members of the Legislative Assembly March 11, 2021 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE ET Notably, the 15-day guidance made no mention of who should seek out testing and under what circumstances. Every Sunday at 11:00am EST/New York. Everyone who can telecommute should be required to do so. And if youre unvaccinated, you have some reasons to be alarmed. But flattening the curve, reflected by the lower gray swell, is achieved by taking strong measures, like physical and social distancing, to make sure the number of cases increases more gradually. - We've Got to do Something! Mina agreed: Without a very clear signal coming from our government at the national level, its really just like a small trickle as people start to recognize that this is happening.. In the early days of the COVID-19 panicback in mid-Marcharticles began to appear pushing the idea of flattening the curve (theWashington Postran an article called Flatten the Curve on March 14). What does the coronavirus mean for the U.S. health care system? You can still get COVID, but its highly unlikely that youll become seriously ill, Biden said. I make this point not to underplay the tragedy of these deaths or the seriousness of the illness but to call into question the accuracy of much of the modeling and predictions used to justify draconian lockdowns. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-march-15-31-2020-critical-time-contain-covid-19-us-khvatkov/, We went from almost no lockdowns to daily lockdowns: The mental health crisis inside California womens prisons. PCR testing and some straightforward assumptions indicate that, as of April 29, 2020, more than half a million people in Stockholm county, Sweden, which is about 2025% of the population, have been infected (Hansson D, Swedish Public Health Agency, personal communication). Thus, on April 2, Anthony Fauci, one of the lead bureaucrats on the White Houses COVID-19 advisory commission insisted that mandatory social distancingcould not be eased until further notice: If we get to the part of the curve where it goes down to essentially no new cases, no deaths for a period of time, I think it makes sense that you have to relax social distancing, [Fauci] added. And we will continue to do this, to the end. This meme trend came few days ago and is now flooded over social media. At the time, as city and state officials rushed to implement restrictions to curb the outbreak. The one thing we hope to have in place, and I believe we will have in place, is a much more robust system to be able to identify someone who is infected, isolate them, and then do contact tracing.. But with the intense focus on vaccines that has followed the deep politicization of the pandemic, that argument has often been explicitly rejected. 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme. He projects that 480, 000 people will die in the coming months. This is the type of rhetoric that always lead to a two-tiered society in which the dehumanized sect suffers immensely under the authoritarians. "The thing we were worried about was going to kill a giant portion of our population A half a million Americans have died with COVID, and yeah, it's a tragedy, but what is more of a tragedy is that there is not an emphasis on keeping people healthy. Our government in the Netherlands is basing their strategy completely on the above model, and Im convinced it will be a disaster. This flatten-the-curve narrative persisted for two weeks or so, but at some point in late March and early April, the narrative switched to something new. Other public health specialists weren't so forgiving of the White House's early response to the pandemic. Exclusive analysis of biotech, pharma, and the life sciences, For many countries staring down fast-rising coronavirus case counts, the race is on to flatten the curve.. And South Korea, which has had the third largest outbreak outside of China, also appears to be beating back transmission through aggressive actions. Privacy Policy Well find out. Lifting social distancing measures prematurely, while cases continue to increase or remain at high levels, could result in a resurgence of new cases. But we know from pandemic planning and previous experiences that the sooner we implement these measures, the more effective that they are, she said. All of these things are things that I want the public to keep wondering if we should be doing this. None of it made much difference against the virus, it turned out. The guidance failed to acknowledge that people who don't have symptoms can spread the virus and didn't say anything about wearing masks. The WHO now endorses the Swedish model, which isbased on increasing healthcare capacity while relying primarily on voluntary social distancing. Well, we saw multiple additional waves of infections, surges that did, in fact, occasionally overwhelm hospitals. A new study from University of WisconsinMadison researchers has found that the message spread far, reaching nearly three-quarters of Americans by August 2020. Countries and regions that have been badly hit by the virus report hospitals that are utterly swamped by the influx of sick people struggling to breathe. We want to hear from you. So far more than 22,000 Americans have tested This article was published more than1 year ago. Although it has not happened by design, the US is moving toward a Sweden model. The future is one in which every move must be controlled and monitored to prevent the spread of this disease. On Fox News this week, Nicole Saphier, also a radiologist, argued that it is time to move forward and allow this mild infection to circulate so we can continue to build that hybrid immunity, meaning immunity obtained through vaccination and through infection. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. Rivers and colleagues from Harvards T.H. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider I would suggest that people not underestimate how effective the chart was based on this finding alone, because the popularity of this chart itself is strong evidence of how important the message was and how critical it is for scientists to send the right message out about something like this, she says. However, the magazine removed the CDCs message that preventative measures could also reduce the total number of infections, instead focusing on not overwhelming hospital capacity. Line shows 7-day moving average of new cases per day in this state. That was 663 days ago. Given that this virus is so transmittable, and is contagious before it is felt, there is a high likelihood that it will be flaring up and continuing to disrupt life for everyone for more than a year, possible much longer. I think weve had this unfortunate emergence of camps around the containment camp, the mitigation camp different groups presenting and championing their view of the world. It is a viral pneumonia that is far more contagious and deadly than the flu. This is not the flu. "If we can get all of America to pitch in for the next 15 days, we can flatten the curve. - Dr. Jerome Adams, U.S. Digital Millennium Copyright Act Notice 13.000. Not surprisingly, it is inspiring to see the way tens of millions of Americans are responding with compassion [and] with common sense., Kay Coles James: President Trumps declaration helps mobilize our nation, ? That argument has been counterproductive, Mike Ryan, the head of the WHOs health emergencies program, said Monday. "As soon as you can reliably test in a number of locations, you begin to get data that helps you decide the next step," Amler told Business Insider. Despite the economically devastating draconian lockdowns that killedcountless small businesses, vaccine passports, and mask mandates, COVID-19 returned with a vengeance. Some simple math offers alarming answers, U.S. communities are braced for coronavirus outbreaks. A version of the chart and the phrase flatten the curve first appeared in a 2007 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention about ways to control the spread of a pandemic. "Simply put, 15 days is not enough to address so much of what we were facing in March 2020 and this plan really reveals an administration and national plan that was quite superficial in response," Popescu said in an email. And with it went the idea of flattening the curve. "From what I am hearing now, it likely will be 12 to 18 months before a vaccine is available.". Will Giesecke be proven correct? "As of today, we are on a course to double the number of confirmed cases in the US every two to three days.". If results are virtually identical regardless of the level of the shutdown, wouldn't the most pragmatic solution be to mirror Florida and allow individuals to make their own decisions about what is best for the health and safety of their families? All rights reserved. People in car crashes, people with cancer, pregnant women who have complications during delivery all those people risk getting a lesser caliber of care when a hospital is trying to cope with the chaos of an outbreak. Despite experts, world wide, weighing in on the harms of school closures and masking children, bureaucrats across the country are beating that dead horse. I ts been quite a year since experts told us that they needed only 15 days to flatten the economy, er, I mean flatten the curve. Now, after their policies have failed, they need someone to blame. Although we didnt see a difference in peoples ideas or behavioral intentions based on their awareness of the chart, the message is still beneficial because theres some evidence that it allowed people to form a more informed decision without relying on trust.. ", "I think one of the biggest regrets that I have is that we didn't have the testing that we needed to have," Barbot said. https://t.co/E7FUoWYONe pic.twitter.com/NbZjZdBGnY, Kyle Martinsen (@KyleMartinsen_) January 4, 2022. CHANG: Well, to explain exactly what it means to flatten the curve of infectious diseases, we're joined now by Dr. Drew Harris. In one of her first public appearances since leaving her role in the White House, Birx said there were doctors "from credible universities who came to the White House with these opposite opinions.". WebThe first case of COVID-19 in Germany was reported 987 days ago on January 26, 2020. We were wrong about Purell. In this visualization, states that appear in shades of orange have experienced a growth in new cases over the past two weeks. Enter your email to receive notifications of new posts. "That is where we should focus now.". A version of the chart and the phrase flatten the curve first appeared in a 2007 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention about ways to control the In February of 2020, The Economist printed a modified version of the chart showing the delay in peak infections and the lowering of the peak. President Trump declared a National Emergency in response to the Coronavirus on Friday, freeing up more than $42 But an individuals awareness of the flatten-the-curve graphic did not predict their willingness to engage in social distancing or their belief in societys ability to control the course of the pandemic. (The jury is still out on how much school closures would help slow spread. The United States and other countries, experts say, are likely to be hit by tsunamis of Covid-19 cases in the coming weeks without aggressive public health responses. I know I speak on behalf of the President and our entire team when I say how grateful we are for governors all across the country and the seamless partnership that we have forged with them and with state health officials, Vice President Mike Pence said yesterday. Hospitals in the north of the country, which the virus first took root, are filled beyond capacity, he said, and may soon face the nightmarish dilemma of having to decide who to try to save. Theres no better way to protect your family and your community than by arming yourself with accurate, up-to-date information. Sweden has put in place a very strong public health policy, Mike Ryan said, but unlike many other countries has chosen to rely on its relationship with its citizenry and trust them to self-regulate. Checkout the memes below. Please use your own discernment when reading the content shared on this website. In other words, the containment strategy favored by Fauci and Emanuel is dead (for now). On any normal day, health systems in the United States typically run close to capacity. In Italy, for example the country with the worst COVID-19 outbreak outside of China confirmed cases doubled from 10,000 to 20,000 in just four days (March 11 Without weighing economic and civil liberty concerns, the decisions made often result in unrealistic policies that will not have the buy-in necessary from the population at large to be effective. When the pandemic began, no one knew anything. This idea was premised on spreading out the total number of COVID-19 infections over time, so as to not overburden the healthcare infrastructure. Subscribe nowto get breaking news from President Trump before anyone else. After all, as unemployment numbers skyrocketed andstate and local government budgets cratered, lockdown until vaccine didnt seem like such a viable strategy anymore. "Fifteen days of aggressive social distancing is necessary, but will not be sufficient," she said. I Will Not Be Silenced! The emphasis is only on social distance, wear three masks, and wait for a vaccine." 9899% of these people are probably unaware or uncertain of having had the infection; they either had symptoms that were severe, but not severe enough for them to go to a hospital and get tested, or no symptoms at all. Just on the wrong axis. Everyone can do their part. Early on, we were told one of the most challenging aspects of COVID-19 was that individuals could spread the virus even if they showed no symptoms. When asked who they trusted, people ranked medical professionals ahead of other scientists and the CDC. That they now portray to affirm what they have been saying all along is the pinnacle of cowardish babble. Indeed, this mass suffering has already begun in many parts of the world. That is nothing if not intuitive, of course; someone sick with covid is necessarily going to increase the percentage of beds in use. But by taking certain steps canceling large public gatherings, for instance, and encouraging some people to restrict their contact with others governments have a shot at stamping out new chains of transmission, while also trying to mitigate the damage of the spread that isnt under control. These facts have led me to the following conclusions. as well as other partner offers and accept our. I just wrote this on a friends linked-in, and he thought I should share as a manner to get through this with the least lethal, societal and economic impact. Ina new article posted atTheLanceton Tuesday, Swedish infectious disease clinician Johan Giesecke writes on how lockdowns dont really reduce overall total deaths, and says that when its all over, nonlockdown jurisdictions are likely to have similar death rates to lockdown areas: It has become clear that a hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homesa population the lockdown was designed to protect. The notion that the curve of this outbreak could be flattened began to gain credence after China took the extraordinary step of locking down tens of millions of How are people supposed to find work if this goes on in some form for a year and a half? A person checks in at security at an international departure terminal at John F. Kennedy Airport in New York on March 7. - Joe Rogan. Nonetheless, one is still likely to encounter rabid COVID warriors on social media, who think that interminable lockdowns will (somehow) significantly reduce the overall total deaths from COVID-19.

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